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U.S. motor gasoline consumption with and without policy change and accelerated retooling, 2010–2050


Feebates are necessary (or, more precisely, appear to be the most effective and targeted policy instrument) for Revolutionary+ autos to be adopted because of their initial price premium. However, even after feebates are adopted and the U.S. begins to move off of oil, shifting EIA’s factory retooling rate forward by a few years would allow U.S. autos to move completely off of oil by 2050.


See Reinventing Fire Transportation Methodology for modeling details link

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